Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Adrian MannarinoVollständige Analyse öffnenMarin CilicVollständige Analyse öffnen

HongkongHartplatzR32Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 45%55% Cilic
2.16Recorded odds1.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Adrian MannarinoVSMarin Cilic
3Set 16
2Set 26

Marin Cilic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Adrian MannarinoMarin Cilic
38%
Karriere-Siegquote
40%
36%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
41%
76%
Hält den Aufschlag
80%
17%
Bricht den Aufschlag
16%
61%
1. Aufschlag rein
57%
68%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
75%
35%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
34%
5.0
Asse / Match
10.1
37%
Tiebreak-%
48%
61%
% Entscheidungssätze
44%
1442
Wertung
1561
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Adrian Mannarino49 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Marin Cilic56 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
27%Außen
2%Körper
24%T
14%T
10%Körper
22%Außen
18%Außen
16%Körper
16%T
14%T
5%Körper
30%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen27%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marin Cilic defeated Adrian Mannarino 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the ATP 250 Hong Kong tournament on hard court on 4 January 2026. Cilic, the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.77, delivered a commanding performance to justify his seeding, breaking down Mannarino's resistance with decisive tennis across both sets. Mannarino, at 2.16 odds, offered limited resistance as Cilic controlled the match with clinical execution. The Croatian's straightforward victory underscores his continued fitness and form heading into the Australian summer, while Mannarino faces an early exit from the tournament.