Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurVollständige Analyse öffnenJannik SinnerVollständige Analyse öffnen

Tour FinalsHartplatzSFSaturday, November 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 11%89% Sinner
8.53Recorded odds1.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSJannik Sinner
5Set 17
2Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurJannik Sinner
53%
Karriere-Siegquote
78%
58%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
79%
79%
Hält den Aufschlag
88%
24%
Bricht den Aufschlag
28%
58%
1. Aufschlag rein
61%
70%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
76%
39%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
41%
3.5
Asse / Match
6.5
49%
Tiebreak-%
69%
49%
% Entscheidungssätze
56%
1695
Wertung
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur88 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Jannik Sinner59 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
20%Außen
20%Körper
10%T
15%T
15%Körper
19%Außen
17%Außen
12%Körper
25%T
15%T
3%Körper
27%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen20%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-2 in the semi-final of the ATP Tour Finals on hard court, a result that confirmed pre-match odds favouring the Italian top seed. De Minaur, competing as a significant underdog at 8.53, offered modest resistance in the opening set before Sinner's superior court control and consistency asserted itself decisively in the second. The scoreline reflects a commanding performance from Sinner, who controlled the rhythm throughout and capitalised on De Minaur's inability to sustain pressure during crucial moments. The victory advances Sinner to the tournament final, reinforcing his status as the year's dominant hard-court performer and extending his record against the Australian.