Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurVollständige Analyse öffnenReilly OpelkaVollständige Analyse öffnen

Cincinnati MastersHartplatzR64Sunday, August 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 79%21% Opelka
1.24Recorded odds4.66
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSReilly Opelka
6Set 17
4Set 26

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurReilly Opelka
53%
Karriere-Siegquote
50%
58%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
50%
79%
Hält den Aufschlag
90%
24%
Bricht den Aufschlag
8%
58%
1. Aufschlag rein
66%
70%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
77%
39%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
28%
3.5
Asse / Match
16.4
49%
Tiebreak-%
54%
49%
% Entscheidungssätze
46%
1695
Wertung
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur69 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Reilly Opelka76 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
25%Außen
9%Körper
19%T
25%T
6%Körper
17%Außen
24%Außen
7%Körper
22%T
12%T
0%Körper
36%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen25%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Alex De Minaur 7–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Cincinnati Masters on hard court, delivering an upset against the favoured Australian. De Minaur entered as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.24, but Opelka's commanding performance—particularly his serve-based game—proved decisive in both sets. The American secured the opening set via tiebreak before breaking clear in the second to advance comfortably. This result represents a significant statement from Opelka at a Masters 1000 event and demonstrates his capacity to trouble top-ranked opponents on hard courts, whilst De Minaur will seek to reassess his form heading into the remainder of the summer swing.