Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikVollständige Analyse öffnenSebastian BaezVollständige Analyse öffnen

Miami MastersHartplatzR128Wednesday, March 19, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 63%37% Baez
1.53Recorded odds2.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSSebastian Baez
6Set 13
6Set 24

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikSebastian Baez
54%
Karriere-Siegquote
38%
48%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
17%
81%
Hält den Aufschlag
68%
15%
Bricht den Aufschlag
25%
61%
1. Aufschlag rein
71%
76%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
62%
34%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
39%
10.8
Asse / Match
1.3
53%
Tiebreak-%
17%
70%
% Entscheidungssätze
54%
1646
Wertung
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik54 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Sebastian Baez51 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
15%Außen
15%Körper
24%T
24%T
11%Körper
11%Außen
12%Außen
25%Körper
14%T
25%T
18%Körper
6%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T24%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Körper25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Sebastian Baez 6–3, 6–4 at the Miami Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event on hard court in the first round on 19 March 2025. Bublik, the pre-match favourite at 1.53 odds, delivered a composed performance to secure a straight-sets victory against Baez, who entered at 2.6. The Kazakh player's clinical execution across both sets saw him break serve on multiple occasions and maintain control throughout, never allowing his Argentine opponent to build sustained pressure. Baez, ranked outside the top 100, showed glimpses of competitiveness but could not muster the consistency required to trouble Bublik's baseline game on the fast hard court. The result keeps Bublik's Miami campaign on track as he advances to the next round.