Australian OpenHartplatzSFFriday, January 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 18%82% Alcaraz
5.19Recorded odds1.16
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Alexander ZverevVSCarlos Alcaraz
4Set 16
6Set 27
7Set 36
7Set 46
5Set 57
Carlos Alcaraz won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Alexander ZverevCarlos Alcaraz
60%
Karriere-Siegquote
80%
62%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
78%
86%
Hält den Aufschlag
86%
19%
Bricht den Aufschlag
29%
69%
1. Aufschlag rein
65%
74%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
72%
36%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
41%
8.6
Asse / Match
4.4
58%
Tiebreak-%
59%
48%
% Entscheidungssätze
67%
1814
Wertung
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Alexander Zverev207 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Carlos Alcaraz187 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
22%Außen
8%Körper
22%T
22%T
9%Körper
17%Außen
28%Außen
8%Körper
16%T
17%T
11%Körper
20%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T22%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen28%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard court, securing his place in the final despite a spirited comeback from the German. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.16 odds, Alcaraz controlled the opening sets but faced a stern challenge when Zverev forced a deciding fifth set, levelling the match through two consecutive tie-break victories. The Spaniard's experience and composure ultimately prevailed in the final set, where he broke through Zverev's resistance to claim victory in a gruelling five-set encounter. This result underscores Alcaraz's mental resilience on the Grand Slam stage and sets up a final showdown against an opponent to be determined, whilst Zverev's loss extends his wait for a maiden Grand Slam title.