Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevVollständige Analyse öffnenJannik SinnerVollständige Analyse öffnen

Indian Wells MastersHartplatzSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 19%81% Sinner
4.91Recorded odds1.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSJannik Sinner
2Set 16
4Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner
60%
Karriere-Siegquote
78%
61%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
79%
86%
Hält den Aufschlag
88%
19%
Bricht den Aufschlag
28%
69%
1. Aufschlag rein
61%
74%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
76%
36%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
41%
8.6
Asse / Match
6.5
58%
Tiebreak-%
69%
48%
% Entscheidungssätze
56%
1809
Wertung
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev53 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Jannik Sinner51 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
17%Außen
6%Körper
28%T
17%T
8%Körper
25%Außen
16%Außen
14%Körper
24%T
14%T
12%Körper
22%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T28%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 6–2, 6–4 in the semi-final of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court on 14 March 2026, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with a commanding performance. Sinner's victory was emphatic, dropping just six games across two sets against an opponent who entered as a substantial underdog at 4.91 odds. The Italian's control throughout the match reflected the odds disparity, with Zverev unable to mount sustained pressure against a player operating at peak efficiency. This result sees Sinner advance to the final of the Masters 1000 event and reinforces his position among the tour's elite, whilst Zverev's semi-final exit marks another setback in his campaign to reclaim consistency at the highest level.