Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PotapovaVollständige Analyse öffnenDaria KasatkinaVollständige Analyse öffnen

BrisbaneHartplatzR64Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 50%50% Kasatkina
1.94Recorded odds1.94
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PotapovaVSDaria Kasatkina
7Set 15
4Set 26
6Set 34

Anastasia Potapova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PotapovaDaria Kasatkina
45%
Karriere-Siegquote
42%
36%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
42%
61%
Hält den Aufschlag
57%
32%
Bricht den Aufschlag
38%
58%
1. Aufschlag rein
68%
64%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
59%
42%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
45%
2.4
Asse / Match
1.5
38%
Tiebreak-%
50%
67%
% Entscheidungssätze
44%
1559
Wertung
1429
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Potapova106 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Daria Kasatkina112 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
24%Außen
12%Körper
17%T
14%T
13%Körper
20%Außen
28%Außen
8%Körper
15%T
21%T
21%Körper
7%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen24%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Anastasia Potapova defeated Daria Kasatkina 7–5, 4–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court on 4 January 2026. Despite Kasatkina entering as the pre-match favourite according to the odds, Potapova secured the upset victory in a competitive three-set encounter. The first set went to Potapova 7–5, before Kasatkina levelled the match by taking the second set 6–4. Potapova regained control in the decider, winning 6–4 to advance. The result represents a solid opening victory for Potapova at the tournament and a setback for the seeded Kasatkina in her Brisbane campaign.