Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PotapovaVollständige Analyse öffnenEmma RaducanuVollständige Analyse öffnen

Australian OpenHartplatzR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 30%70% Raducanu
3.13Recorded odds1.35
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PotapovaVSEmma Raducanu
7Set 16
6Set 22

Anastasia Potapova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PotapovaEmma Raducanu
45%
Karriere-Siegquote
52%
36%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
52%
61%
Hält den Aufschlag
69%
32%
Bricht den Aufschlag
34%
58%
1. Aufschlag rein
67%
64%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
64%
42%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
43%
2.4
Asse / Match
2.8
38%
Tiebreak-%
55%
67%
% Entscheidungssätze
42%
1559
Wertung
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Potapova66 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Emma Raducanu62 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
18%Außen
24%Körper
11%T
15%T
20%Körper
12%Außen
15%Außen
29%Körper
8%T
27%T
11%Körper
10%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Körper24%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Körper29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Anastasia Potapova defeated Emma Raducanu 7–6, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 21 January 2026, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Raducanu entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.35, whilst Potapova was priced at 3.13, yet the Russian proved the steadier competitor across both sets. The opening set went to a tiebreak, where Potapova secured the crucial points to claim it, before dominating the second set to close out the match convincingly. The result represents a significant scalp for Potapova's Australian Open campaign and raises questions about Raducanu's current form heading deeper into the tournament.