Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaVollständige Analyse öffnenCarlos AlcarazVollständige Analyse öffnen

TokyoHartplatzQFSunday, September 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 11%89% Alcaraz
8.42Recorded odds1.08
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSCarlos Alcaraz
2Set 16
4Set 26

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaCarlos Alcaraz
41%
Karriere-Siegquote
80%
50%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
78%
85%
Hält den Aufschlag
86%
15%
Bricht den Aufschlag
29%
64%
1. Aufschlag rein
65%
74%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
72%
34%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
41%
9.2
Asse / Match
4.4
36%
Tiebreak-%
59%
44%
% Entscheidungssätze
67%
1593
Wertung
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima64 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Carlos Alcaraz45 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
23%Außen
5%Körper
23%T
14%T
3%Körper
31%Außen
16%Außen
9%Körper
31%T
16%T
2%Körper
27%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen31%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Brandon Nakashima 6–2, 6–4 in the quarter-final of the ATP 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.08 against Nakashima's 8.42. Alcaraz's dominant performance saw him control both sets with consistent serving and baseline precision, allowing Nakashima few opportunities to mount a sustained challenge. The Spaniard's clinical execution in the first set established early momentum, which he maintained throughout the second to secure a convincing progression. This victory underscores Alcaraz's continued form on hard courts and his readiness for the closing stages of the season.