Indian Wells MastersHartplatzSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 81%19% Medvedev
1.17Recorded odds4.84
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Carlos AlcarazVSDaniil Medvedev
3Set 16
6Set 27
Daniil Medvedev won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Carlos AlcarazDaniil Medvedev
80%
Karriere-Siegquote
69%
78%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
70%
86%
Hält den Aufschlag
85%
29%
Bricht den Aufschlag
25%
65%
1. Aufschlag rein
63%
72%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
75%
41%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
39%
4.4
Asse / Match
8.4
59%
Tiebreak-%
52%
67%
% Entscheidungssätze
56%
1946
Wertung
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Carlos Alcaraz62 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Daniil Medvedev75 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
27%Außen
2%Körper
24%T
15%T
6%Körper
26%Außen
39%Außen
1%Körper
12%T
35%T
1%Körper
12%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen27%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen39%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Daniil Medvedev upset pre-match favourite Carlos Alcaraz 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on hard court, a result that defied the odds which favoured Alcaraz at 1.17 to 4.84. Medvedev's composed performance, particularly in a tight second set decided in a tie-break, demonstrated his capacity to compete at the highest level against the world's elite. The Russian's victory on the California hard courts underscores his continued resilience and tactical acumen in Masters events. This result significantly reshapes the tournament's trajectory and suggests Medvedev remains a formidable contender in best-of-three formats.