Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevVollständige Analyse öffnenHolger RuneVollständige Analyse öffnen

Indian Wells MastersHartplatzSFSaturday, March 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 63%37% Rune
1.56Recorded odds2.63
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSHolger Rune
5Set 17
4Set 26

Holger Rune won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevHolger Rune
69%
Karriere-Siegquote
52%
70%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
50%
85%
Hält den Aufschlag
79%
25%
Bricht den Aufschlag
17%
63%
1. Aufschlag rein
61%
75%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
70%
39%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
35%
8.4
Asse / Match
5.1
52%
Tiebreak-%
54%
56%
% Entscheidungssätze
50%
1722
Wertung
1565
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev60 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Holger Rune70 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
20%Außen
18%Körper
17%T
20%T
15%Körper
10%Außen
27%Außen
13%Körper
11%T
16%T
13%Körper
20%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen20%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Holger Rune defeated Daniil Medvedev 7–5, 6–4 in the semi-final of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Medvedev, seeded higher and backed at 1.56 odds, entered as the expected victor, but Rune's composed performance across both sets proved decisive. The Danish player broke through in the opening set's crucial moments to secure the first frame, then maintained his momentum in the second to seal a commanding victory. This result marks a notable scalp for Rune at a Masters 1000 event and sends him through to the final, where he will face a fresh opponent after a demanding semi-final. The upset underscores Rune's improving consistency on hard courts and represents a significant stride in his bid for a maiden Masters title.