Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaVollständige Analyse öffnenLiudmila SamsonovaVollständige Analyse öffnen

Indian WellsHartplatzR32Monday, March 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 59%41% Samsonova
1.67Recorded odds2.36
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSLiudmila Samsonova
6Set 12
3Set 26
2Set 36

Liudmila Samsonova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaLiudmila Samsonova
42%
Karriere-Siegquote
58%
42%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
56%
57%
Hält den Aufschlag
73%
38%
Bricht den Aufschlag
29%
68%
1. Aufschlag rein
57%
59%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
70%
45%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
41%
1.5
Asse / Match
4.4
50%
Tiebreak-%
44%
44%
% Entscheidungssätze
53%
1429
Wertung
1591
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina70 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Liudmila Samsonova85 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
14%Außen
14%Körper
24%T
24%T
10%Körper
13%Außen
25%Außen
18%Körper
9%T
8%T
13%Körper
27%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T24%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Daria Kasatkina 2–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the Indian Wells R32 on hard court on 10 March 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Kasatkina, the odds-on pick at 1.67, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening set, allowing Samsonova to build momentum through the middle and closing stages. Samsonova's improved consistency in the second and third sets proved decisive, as she neutralised Kasatkina's early dominance and secured the straight-sets turnaround. The result marks a significant scalp for Samsonova at the Masters 1000 level and suggests a potential shift in their recent head-to-head dynamic.