Indian Wells MastersHartplatzR32Sunday, March 8, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 8%92% Sinner
11.16Recorded odds1.03
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Denis ShapovalovVSJannik Sinner
3Set 16
2Set 26
Jannik Sinner won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Denis ShapovalovJannik Sinner
43%
Karriere-Siegquote
78%
47%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
79%
82%
Hält den Aufschlag
88%
17%
Bricht den Aufschlag
28%
60%
1. Aufschlag rein
61%
74%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
76%
35%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
41%
8.0
Asse / Match
6.5
49%
Tiebreak-%
69%
24%
% Entscheidungssätze
56%
1604
Wertung
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Denis Shapovalov56 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Jannik Sinner43 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
21%Außen
4%Körper
25%T
16%T
5%Körper
29%Außen
26%Außen
0%Körper
26%T
28%T
5%Körper
16%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen29%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · T28%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jannik Sinner defeated Denis Shapovalov 6–3, 6–2 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, justifying his status as a heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.03. Shapovalov, trading at 11.16, offered little resistance as Sinner controlled the match from the outset, breaking serve multiple times and maintaining consistent pressure throughout both sets. The Italian's dominance was evident in the scoreline, with Shapovalov unable to mount a sustained challenge despite his reputation for aggressive tennis. This commanding performance underscores Sinner's current form and standing among the tour's elite, positioning him well for deeper tournament runs as he continues his 2026 campaign.