Indian Wells MastersHartplatzR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 45%55% Tsitsipás
2.09Recorded odds1.72
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Denis ShapovalovVSStéfanos Tsitsipás
6Set 12
3Set 26
6Set 34
Denis Shapovalov won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Denis ShapovalovStéfanos Tsitsipás
43%
Karriere-Siegquote
55%
47%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
53%
82%
Hält den Aufschlag
86%
17%
Bricht den Aufschlag
15%
60%
1. Aufschlag rein
62%
74%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
76%
35%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
34%
8.0
Asse / Match
7.4
49%
Tiebreak-%
53%
24%
% Entscheidungssätze
50%
1604
Wertung
1584
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Denis Shapovalov67 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Stéfanos Tsitsipás84 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
4%Außen
13%Körper
36%T
10%T
1%Körper
34%Außen
36%Außen
11%Körper
7%T
23%T
7%Körper
17%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T36%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen36%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Denis Shapovalov defeated Stéfanos Tsitsipás 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Shapovalov, available at 2.09 odds, outplayed the higher-ranked Tsitsipás, who entered as the betting favourite at 1.72. The Canadian took control early with a dominant first set, though Tsitsipás responded in the second to level the match. Shapovalov's composure proved decisive in the decider, securing the break of serve needed to seal progression. The result represents a significant statement from Shapovalov against a top-tier opponent and strengthens his credentials heading into the latter stages of the tournament.