Australian OpenHartplatzSFThursday, January 29, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 66%34% Pegula
1.43Recorded odds2.77
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 13
7Set 26
Elena Rybakina won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
Karriere-Siegquote
60%
80%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
62%
81%
Hält den Aufschlag
72%
35%
Bricht den Aufschlag
36%
58%
1. Aufschlag rein
62%
73%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
66%
44%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
44%
6.4
Asse / Match
2.9
57%
Tiebreak-%
53%
60%
% Entscheidungssätze
54%
1954
Wertung
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Elena Rybakina73 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Jessica Pegula76 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
12%Außen
12%Körper
26%T
21%T
11%Körper
18%Außen
18%Außen
20%Körper
13%T
9%T
30%Körper
9%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T26%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Körper30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.43 to Pegula's 2.77. Rybakina's composed performance across both sets, particularly her tiebreak conversion in the second, secured her passage to the final and maintained her unbeaten record against the American in this tournament. The result extends Rybakina's recent dominance at Melbourne Park and positions her as a genuine contender for the title.