Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Félix Auger-AliassimeVollständige Analyse öffnenMatteo ArnaldiVollständige Analyse öffnen

Roland GarrosSandR128Tuesday, May 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Auger-Aliassime 52%48% Arnaldi
1.87Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Félix Auger-AliassimeVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 15
6Set 22
3Set 36
4Set 46
2Set 56

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Félix Auger-AliassimeMatteo Arnaldi
49%
Karriere-Siegquote
38%
45%
Siege % auf Sand
60%
84%
Hält den Aufschlag
72%
16%
Bricht den Aufschlag
19%
64%
1. Aufschlag rein
57%
76%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
68%
34%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
36%
9.5
Asse / Match
5.3
48%
Tiebreak-%
50%
58%
% Entscheidungssätze
29%
1646
Wertung
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Félix Auger-Aliassime137 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Matteo Arnaldi172 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
28%Außen
6%Körper
19%T
20%T
12%Körper
16%Außen
17%Außen
9%Körper
26%T
13%T
5%Körper
30%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen28%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Félix Auger-Aliassime 5–7, 2–6, 6–3, 6–4, 6–2 in the first round of Roland Garros on clay on 27 May 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Auger-Aliassime, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.87, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening two sets on the slow surface. Arnaldi, despite entering as the underdog at 2.05, mounted a decisive comeback from two sets down, reeling off three consecutive sets to secure the victory. The Italian's clay-court resilience proved decisive as Auger-Aliassime's form deteriorated in the latter stages of the match. The result marks a notable upset and suggests Arnaldi possesses the tactical nous and consistency required for a deep run on the Paris clay.