Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneVollständige Analyse öffnenNicolas JarryVollständige Analyse öffnen

WimbledonRasenR128Monday, June 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 74%26% Jarry
1.30Recorded odds3.76
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSNicolas Jarry
6Set 14
6Set 24
5Set 37
3Set 46
4Set 56

Nicolas Jarry won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneNicolas Jarry
52%
Karriere-Siegquote
45%
40%
Siege % auf Rasen
75%
79%
Hält den Aufschlag
85%
17%
Bricht den Aufschlag
14%
61%
1. Aufschlag rein
65%
70%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
74%
35%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
33%
5.1
Asse / Match
8.1
54%
Tiebreak-%
52%
50%
% Entscheidungssätze
44%
1565
Wertung
1583
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune150 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Nicolas Jarry138 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
19%Außen
16%Körper
18%T
17%T
9%Körper
21%Außen
18%Außen
12%Körper
22%T
13%T
15%Körper
19%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen21%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Nicolas Jarry defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 4–6, 7–5, 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of Wimbledon on grass on 30 June 2025, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher with odds of 1.30, dominated the opening two sets, but Jarry mounted a sustained comeback to claim three consecutive sets and secure victory. The Chilean's resilience from two sets down demonstrated tactical adjustment on the grass surface, where Rune's early dominance proved insufficient to close out the match. This result represents a notable scalp for Jarry at the Championships and signals potential vulnerability in Rune's grass-court game despite his favoured status entering the contest.