Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneVollständige Analyse öffnenReilly OpelkaVollständige Analyse öffnen

Miami MastersHartplatzR64Saturday, March 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 67%33% Opelka
1.46Recorded odds2.91
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSReilly Opelka
6Set 14
3Set 26
6Set 37

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneReilly Opelka
52%
Karriere-Siegquote
50%
50%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
50%
79%
Hält den Aufschlag
90%
17%
Bricht den Aufschlag
8%
61%
1. Aufschlag rein
66%
70%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
77%
35%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
28%
5.1
Asse / Match
16.4
54%
Tiebreak-%
54%
50%
% Entscheidungssätze
46%
1565
Wertung
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune93 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Reilly Opelka93 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
24%Außen
3%Körper
26%T
25%T
1%Körper
22%Außen
35%Außen
1%Körper
16%T
20%T
3%Körper
24%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T26%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 6–3, 7–6 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court on 22 March 2025, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.46, struggled to maintain consistency through three sets, losing the opener before recovering in the second. The match went to a deciding tiebreak, which Opelka claimed to secure a notable upset victory. The American's ability to convert under pressure in the third set proved decisive, particularly in the tiebreak where Rune could not close out the contest despite having opportunities. This result represents a significant scalp for Opelka early in the tournament and raises questions about Rune's form heading into the latter stages of the Miami event.