Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneVollständige Analyse öffnenRoberto Carballes BaenaVollständige Analyse öffnen

US OpenHartplatzR128Monday, August 28, 2023
No-vig market probability
Rune 88%12% Baena
1.11Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSRoberto Carballes Baena
3Set 16
6Set 24
3Set 36
2Set 46

Roberto Carballes Baena won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneRoberto Carballes Baena
54%
Karriere-Siegquote
40%
52%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
33%
80%
Hält den Aufschlag
71%
17%
Bricht den Aufschlag
18%
61%
1. Aufschlag rein
66%
70%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
64%
35%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
36%
5.1
Asse / Match
2.2
56%
Tiebreak-%
50%
52%
% Entscheidungssätze
57%
1600
Wertung
1507
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune108 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Roberto Carballes Baena101 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
33%Außen
6%Körper
13%T
25%T
4%Körper
19%Außen
28%Außen
10%Körper
14%T
9%T
17%Körper
23%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen33%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Holger Rune 6–3, 4–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 28 August 2023, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune entered as the heavy favourite with odds of 1.11, while Carballes Baena was priced at 8.09, reflecting expectations that the Danish player would advance comfortably. However, the Spanish competitor executed a composed performance, taking control after a competitive opening set and consolidating his advantage through the third and fourth sets to secure a commanding victory. The result marked a notable early exit for Rune at Flushing Meadows and demonstrated Carballes Baena's capacity to trouble higher-ranked opponents on the hard court stage.