Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jessica PegulaVollständige Analyse öffnenMadison KeysVollständige Analyse öffnen

Australian OpenHartplatzR16Monday, January 26, 2026
No-vig market probability
Pegula 59%41% Keys
1.59Recorded odds2.33
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jessica PegulaVSMadison Keys
6Set 13
6Set 24

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jessica PegulaMadison Keys
60%
Karriere-Siegquote
60%
62%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
61%
72%
Hält den Aufschlag
76%
36%
Bricht den Aufschlag
31%
62%
1. Aufschlag rein
64%
66%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
69%
44%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
42%
2.9
Asse / Match
5.3
53%
Tiebreak-%
73%
54%
% Entscheidungssätze
45%
1809
Wertung
1659
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jessica Pegula66 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Madison Keys59 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
15%Außen
20%Körper
17%T
17%T
5%Körper
27%Außen
24%Außen
17%Körper
12%T
14%T
10%Körper
24%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen27%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Madison Keys 6-3, 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.59 to Keys's 2.33. Pegula's composed performance saw her secure both sets with relative comfort, breaking down her American opponent's resistance in straight sets to advance deeper into the tournament. The result underscored Pegula's consistency at the Australian Open and her current form on the hard-court circuit. Keys, despite her powerful game, could not generate sufficient momentum to trouble the favourite in either set. Pegula's progression to the quarter-finals strengthens her claim as a genuine contender for the title.