Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Joao FonsecaVollständige Analyse öffnenTommy PaulVollständige Analyse öffnen

Indian Wells MastersHartplatzR32Monday, March 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Fonseca 34%66% Paul
2.74Recorded odds1.42
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Joao FonsecaVSTommy Paul
6Set 12
6Set 23

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Joao FonsecaTommy Paul
60%
Karriere-Siegquote
50%
61%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
50%
84%
Hält den Aufschlag
80%
20%
Bricht den Aufschlag
21%
66%
1. Aufschlag rein
62%
71%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
71%
37%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
37%
5.4
Asse / Match
5.1
53%
Tiebreak-%
35%
47%
% Entscheidungssätze
55%
1614
Wertung
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Joao Fonseca50 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Tommy Paul58 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
28%Außen
4%Körper
20%T
24%T
0%Körper
24%Außen
26%Außen
2%Körper
24%T
14%T
3%Körper
31%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · Außen28%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Tommy Paul 6–2, 6–3 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Despite Paul entering as the betting favourite at 1.42 odds, Fonseca's superior court control and consistency proved decisive, with the Brazilian claiming both sets with relative ease. The dominant performance suggests Fonseca has found his rhythm on the hard courts of the California desert, where precision and baseline strength are paramount. This result marks a significant scalp for Fonseca in the Masters 1000 calendar and positions him well for a potential deep run at Indian Wells.