Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Zum Kalender zurück
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kei NishikoriVollständige Analyse öffnenTommy PaulVollständige Analyse öffnen

Australian OpenHartplatzR64Wednesday, January 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nishikori 33%67% Paul
2.97Recorded odds1.45
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kei NishikoriVSTommy Paul
7Set 16
0Set 26
3Set 36
1Set 46

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kei NishikoriTommy Paul
53%
Karriere-Siegquote
50%
45%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
50%
77%
Hält den Aufschlag
80%
22%
Bricht den Aufschlag
21%
62%
1. Aufschlag rein
62%
68%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
71%
38%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
37%
2.9
Asse / Match
5.1
41%
Tiebreak-%
35%
60%
% Entscheidungssätze
55%
1604
Wertung
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kei Nishikori129 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Tommy Paul104 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
15%Außen
19%Körper
19%T
9%T
18%Körper
21%Außen
17%Außen
18%Körper
16%T
12%T
21%Körper
14%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen21%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Körper21%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Kei Nishikori 6–7, 6–0, 6–3, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming his pre-match favourite status with odds of 1.45 against Nishikori's 2.97. After losing a tight opening set to the Japanese veteran, Paul asserted complete control from the second set onward, dismantling his opponent's resistance with successive commanding displays. The American's dominance in the final two sets—particularly the bagel in the second—underscored a significant performance gap once the match's momentum shifted. Paul's progression sets up a second-round encounter that will test whether he can maintain this level against stiffer opposition at Melbourne Park.