Australian OpenHartplatzR128Tuesday, January 14, 2025
No-vig market probability
Musetti 61%39% Arnaldi
1.60Recorded odds2.50
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Lorenzo MusettiVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 16
4Set 26
7Set 36
6Set 43
Lorenzo Musetti won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Lorenzo MusettiMatteo Arnaldi
56%
Karriere-Siegquote
38%
45%
Siege % auf Hartplatz
32%
79%
Hält den Aufschlag
72%
22%
Bricht den Aufschlag
19%
64%
1. Aufschlag rein
57%
69%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
68%
38%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
36%
3.7
Asse / Match
5.3
45%
Tiebreak-%
50%
69%
% Entscheidungssätze
29%
1634
Wertung
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Lorenzo Musetti147 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Matteo Arnaldi183 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
18%Außen
7%Körper
25%T
22%T
10%Körper
18%Außen
16%Außen
10%Körper
26%T
14%T
5%Körper
30%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T25%
Bevorzugtes ZielVorteil · Außen30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Lorenzo Musetti defeated fellow Italian Matteo Arnaldi 7–6, 4–6, 7–6, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 14 January 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.6 to Arnaldi's 2.5. The match proved competitive through three sets, with both players claiming a tiebreak apiece before Musetti seized control in the fourth to secure passage to the second round. The result extends Musetti's head-to-head record against his compatriot and demonstrates his capability to navigate tight contests at Grand Slam level early in the season.