No-vig market probability
Nardi 4%96% Djoković
25.37Recorded odds1.02
Luca NardiVSNovak Djoković
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Luca Nardi defeated Novak Djoković 6–4, 3–6, 6–3 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court on 11 March 2024, delivering a significant upset against the heavy favourite. Djoković entered the match as an overwhelming odds-on prospect at 1.02, with Nardi a 25.37 outsider, yet the Italian managed to control the opening set and reassert dominance in the decider after dropping the second. The result represents a notable scalp for the 22-year-old Nardi, who claimed one of the Masters 1000 circuit's most prestigious victories and demonstrated capacity to compete against the sport's elite on a fast hard court. The upset raises questions about Djoković's form and preparation during the early 2024 season.