Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Matteo ArnaldiVollständige Analyse öffnenNovak DjokovićVollständige Analyse öffnen

Madrid MastersSandR64Saturday, April 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Arnaldi 25%75% Djoković
3.93Recorded odds1.28
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Matteo ArnaldiVSNovak Djoković
6Set 13
6Set 24

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Matteo ArnaldiNovak Djoković
38%
Karriere-Siegquote
77%
60%
Siege % auf Sand
71%
72%
Hält den Aufschlag
86%
19%
Bricht den Aufschlag
28%
57%
1. Aufschlag rein
65%
68%
1. Aufschlag gewonnen
73%
36%
Return-Punkte gewonnen
40%
5.3
Asse / Match
5.9
50%
Tiebreak-%
61%
29%
% Entscheidungssätze
71%
1462
Wertung
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Matteo Arnaldi74 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
Novak Djoković53 serves
Wohin der Aufschlag platziert wird
19%Außen
8%Körper
24%T
19%T
5%Körper
24%Außen
23%Außen
2%Körper
28%T
25%T
2%Körper
21%Außen
EinstandVorteilEinstandVorteil
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T24%
Bevorzugtes ZielEinstand · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Novak Djoković 6–3, 6–4 at the Madrid Masters on clay in the first round, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. The Italian, who carried odds of 3.93 against Djoković's 1.28, controlled both sets with consistent tennis and superior court positioning on the red clay. Djoković, seeded high and expected to advance comfortably, struggled to impose his usual rhythm and failed to find the solutions needed to break Arnaldi's serve and dictate play from the baseline. The straightforward nature of the scoreline underscored Arnaldi's dominance in the encounter. The result represents a career-defining victory for the 23-year-old and raises questions about Djoković's form and readiness on the Madrid clay surface this season.