Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Adrian MannarinoAbrir el análisis completoMarin CilicAbrir el análisis completo

Hong KongDuraR32Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 45%55% Cilic
2.16Recorded odds1.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Adrian MannarinoVSMarin Cilic
3Set 16
2Set 26

Marin Cilic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Adrian MannarinoMarin Cilic
38%
% de victorias en carrera
40%
36%
% de victorias en dura
41%
76%
Mantiene el saque
80%
17%
Rompe el saque
16%
61%
1er saque dentro
57%
68%
Puntos con 1er saque
75%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
34%
5.0
Aces / partido
10.1
37%
% de tiebreaks
48%
61%
% de sets decisivos
44%
1442
Nivel
1561
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Adrian Mannarino49 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Marin Cilic56 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
27%Abierto
2%Cuerpo
24%T
14%T
10%Cuerpo
22%Abierto
18%Abierto
16%Cuerpo
16%T
14%T
5%Cuerpo
30%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto27%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marin Cilic defeated Adrian Mannarino 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the ATP 250 Hong Kong tournament on hard court on 4 January 2026. Cilic, the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.77, delivered a commanding performance to justify his seeding, breaking down Mannarino's resistance with decisive tennis across both sets. Mannarino, at 2.16 odds, offered limited resistance as Cilic controlled the match with clinical execution. The Croatian's straightforward victory underscores his continued fitness and form heading into the Australian summer, while Mannarino faces an early exit from the tournament.