Indian Wells MastersDuraR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 34%66% Berrettini
2.73Recorded odds1.43
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Adrian MannarinoVSMatteo Berrettini
6Set 14
5Set 27
5Set 37
Matteo Berrettini won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Adrian MannarinoMatteo Berrettini
38%
% de victorias en carrera
59%
36%
% de victorias en dura
53%
76%
Mantiene el saque
88%
17%
Rompe el saque
15%
61%
1er saque dentro
65%
68%
Puntos con 1er saque
78%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
34%
5.0
Aces / partido
10.6
37%
% de tiebreaks
57%
61%
% de sets decisivos
50%
1442
Nivel
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Adrian Mannarino113 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Matteo Berrettini100 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
16%Abierto
15%Cuerpo
22%T
11%T
8%Cuerpo
28%Abierto
21%Abierto
16%Cuerpo
17%T
11%T
11%Cuerpo
24%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto28%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto24%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Matteo Berrettini defeated Adrian Mannarino 4–6, 7–5, 7–5 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court. Berrettini, the pre-match favourite at 1.43 odds, recovered from losing the opening set to claim a straight-sets victory in terms of match outcome, though requiring three sets overall. Mannarino, despite the longer odds at 2.73, mounted resistance in the second and third sets, each going to 7–5 before Berrettini secured the decisive break. The Italian's composure in the latter stages proved decisive as he turned the match around following an early setback. Berrettini's comeback victory positions him favourably in his Indian Wells campaign.
