Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurAbrir el análisis completoJannik SinnerAbrir el análisis completo

Tour FinalsDuraSFSaturday, November 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 11%89% Sinner
8.53Recorded odds1.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSJannik Sinner
5Set 17
2Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurJannik Sinner
52%
% de victorias en carrera
78%
58%
% de victorias en dura
79%
79%
Mantiene el saque
88%
24%
Rompe el saque
28%
58%
1er saque dentro
61%
70%
Puntos con 1er saque
76%
39%
Puntos al resto ganados
41%
3.5
Aces / partido
6.5
49%
% de tiebreaks
69%
49%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1688
Nivel
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur88 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Jannik Sinner59 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
20%Abierto
20%Cuerpo
10%T
15%T
15%Cuerpo
19%Abierto
17%Abierto
12%Cuerpo
25%T
15%T
3%Cuerpo
27%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto20%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-2 in the semi-final of the ATP Tour Finals on hard court, a result that confirmed pre-match odds favouring the Italian top seed. De Minaur, competing as a significant underdog at 8.53, offered modest resistance in the opening set before Sinner's superior court control and consistency asserted itself decisively in the second. The scoreline reflects a commanding performance from Sinner, who controlled the rhythm throughout and capitalised on De Minaur's inability to sustain pressure during crucial moments. The victory advances Sinner to the tournament final, reinforcing his status as the year's dominant hard-court performer and extending his record against the Australian.