Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurAbrir el análisis completoReilly OpelkaAbrir el análisis completo

Cincinnati MastersDuraR64Sunday, August 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 79%21% Opelka
1.24Recorded odds4.66
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSReilly Opelka
6Set 17
4Set 26

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurReilly Opelka
53%
% de victorias en carrera
50%
58%
% de victorias en dura
50%
79%
Mantiene el saque
90%
24%
Rompe el saque
8%
58%
1er saque dentro
66%
70%
Puntos con 1er saque
77%
39%
Puntos al resto ganados
28%
3.5
Aces / partido
16.4
49%
% de tiebreaks
54%
49%
% de sets decisivos
46%
1695
Nivel
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur69 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Reilly Opelka76 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
25%Abierto
9%Cuerpo
19%T
25%T
6%Cuerpo
17%Abierto
24%Abierto
7%Cuerpo
22%T
12%T
0%Cuerpo
36%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto25%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Alex De Minaur 7–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Cincinnati Masters on hard court, delivering an upset against the favoured Australian. De Minaur entered as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.24, but Opelka's commanding performance—particularly his serve-based game—proved decisive in both sets. The American secured the opening set via tiebreak before breaking clear in the second to advance comfortably. This result represents a significant statement from Opelka at a Masters 1000 event and demonstrates his capacity to trouble top-ranked opponents on hard courts, whilst De Minaur will seek to reassess his form heading into the remainder of the summer swing.