Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikAbrir el análisis completoAndrey RublevAbrir el análisis completo

Madrid MastersTierra batidaR32Sunday, April 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 22%78% Rublev
4.38Recorded odds1.27
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSAndrey Rublev
6Set 14
0Set 26
6Set 34

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikAndrey Rublev
54%
% de victorias en carrera
60%
64%
% de victorias en tierra batida
56%
81%
Mantiene el saque
85%
15%
Rompe el saque
21%
61%
1er saque dentro
63%
76%
Puntos con 1er saque
76%
34%
Puntos al resto ganados
37%
10.8
Aces / partido
7.4
53%
% de tiebreaks
44%
70%
% de sets decisivos
57%
1646
Nivel
1642
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik71 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Andrey Rublev67 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
20%Abierto
1%Cuerpo
31%T
17%T
4%Cuerpo
27%Abierto
19%Abierto
4%Cuerpo
30%T
18%T
3%Cuerpo
25%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T31%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 in the Madrid Masters R32 on clay on 27 April 2025, producing a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rublev entered as the heavy favourite at 1.27 odds, whilst Bublik was priced at 4.38, yet the Kazakhstani player executed a composed performance to claim victory in three sets. After dropping the opening set, Bublik regrouped decisively in the second, shutting out his opponent entirely before securing the decider with consistent tennis. The result marks a notable scalp for Bublik at the Masters 1000 level and demonstrates his capacity to trouble higher-ranked opposition on the red clay.