Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikAbrir el análisis completoLorenzo MusettiAbrir el análisis completo

Hong KongDuraFSunday, January 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Bublik 52%48% Musetti
1.86Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSLorenzo Musetti
7Set 16
6Set 23

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikLorenzo Musetti
54%
% de victorias en carrera
56%
48%
% de victorias en dura
45%
81%
Mantiene el saque
79%
15%
Rompe el saque
22%
61%
1er saque dentro
64%
76%
Puntos con 1er saque
69%
34%
Puntos al resto ganados
38%
10.8
Aces / partido
3.7
53%
% de tiebreaks
45%
70%
% de sets decisivos
69%
1646
Nivel
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik67 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Lorenzo Musetti73 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
18%Abierto
9%Cuerpo
25%T
28%T
7%Cuerpo
12%Abierto
12%Abierto
15%Cuerpo
25%T
30%T
7%Cuerpo
11%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · T28%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7–6, 6–3 in the final of the ATP 250 Hong Kong event on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.86 to Musetti's 2.05. The Kazakhstani player controlled the encounter, taking a competitive opening set via tiebreak before dominating the second to claim his title. Bublik's composed performance in the decider underlined his superiority on the day, with Musetti unable to mount a sustained challenge after the first-set contest. The victory extends Bublik's winning streak and marks a significant title at a 250-level event, while Musetti's runner-up finish offers limited consolation in his bid to climb the rankings.