Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikAbrir el análisis completoSebastian BaezAbrir el análisis completo

Miami MastersDuraR128Wednesday, March 19, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 63%37% Baez
1.53Recorded odds2.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSSebastian Baez
6Set 13
6Set 24

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikSebastian Baez
54%
% de victorias en carrera
38%
48%
% de victorias en dura
17%
81%
Mantiene el saque
68%
15%
Rompe el saque
25%
61%
1er saque dentro
71%
76%
Puntos con 1er saque
62%
34%
Puntos al resto ganados
39%
10.8
Aces / partido
1.3
53%
% de tiebreaks
17%
70%
% de sets decisivos
54%
1646
Nivel
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik54 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Sebastian Baez51 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
15%Abierto
15%Cuerpo
24%T
24%T
11%Cuerpo
11%Abierto
12%Abierto
25%Cuerpo
14%T
25%T
18%Cuerpo
6%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T24%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Cuerpo25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Sebastian Baez 6–3, 6–4 at the Miami Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event on hard court in the first round on 19 March 2025. Bublik, the pre-match favourite at 1.53 odds, delivered a composed performance to secure a straight-sets victory against Baez, who entered at 2.6. The Kazakh player's clinical execution across both sets saw him break serve on multiple occasions and maintain control throughout, never allowing his Argentine opponent to build sustained pressure. Baez, ranked outside the top 100, showed glimpses of competitiveness but could not muster the consistency required to trouble Bublik's baseline game on the fast hard court. The result keeps Bublik's Miami campaign on track as he advances to the next round.