Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevAbrir el análisis completoCarlos AlcarazAbrir el análisis completo

Australian OpenDuraSFFriday, January 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 18%82% Alcaraz
5.19Recorded odds1.16
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSCarlos Alcaraz
4Set 16
6Set 27
7Set 36
7Set 46
5Set 57

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevCarlos Alcaraz
60%
% de victorias en carrera
80%
62%
% de victorias en dura
78%
86%
Mantiene el saque
86%
19%
Rompe el saque
29%
69%
1er saque dentro
65%
74%
Puntos con 1er saque
72%
36%
Puntos al resto ganados
41%
8.6
Aces / partido
4.4
58%
% de tiebreaks
59%
48%
% de sets decisivos
67%
1814
Nivel
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev207 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Carlos Alcaraz187 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
22%Abierto
8%Cuerpo
22%T
22%T
9%Cuerpo
17%Abierto
28%Abierto
8%Cuerpo
16%T
17%T
11%Cuerpo
20%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T22%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard court, securing his place in the final despite a spirited comeback from the German. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.16 odds, Alcaraz controlled the opening sets but faced a stern challenge when Zverev forced a deciding fifth set, levelling the match through two consecutive tie-break victories. The Spaniard's experience and composure ultimately prevailed in the final set, where he broke through Zverev's resistance to claim victory in a gruelling five-set encounter. This result underscores Alcaraz's mental resilience on the Grand Slam stage and sets up a final showdown against an opponent to be determined, whilst Zverev's loss extends his wait for a maiden Grand Slam title.