Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PotapovaAbrir el análisis completoEmma RaducanuAbrir el análisis completo

Australian OpenDuraR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 30%70% Raducanu
3.13Recorded odds1.35
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PotapovaVSEmma Raducanu
7Set 16
6Set 22

Anastasia Potapova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PotapovaEmma Raducanu
45%
% de victorias en carrera
52%
36%
% de victorias en dura
52%
61%
Mantiene el saque
69%
32%
Rompe el saque
34%
58%
1er saque dentro
67%
64%
Puntos con 1er saque
64%
42%
Puntos al resto ganados
43%
2.4
Aces / partido
2.8
38%
% de tiebreaks
55%
67%
% de sets decisivos
42%
1559
Nivel
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Potapova66 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Emma Raducanu62 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
18%Abierto
24%Cuerpo
11%T
15%T
20%Cuerpo
12%Abierto
15%Abierto
29%Cuerpo
8%T
27%T
11%Cuerpo
10%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Cuerpo24%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Cuerpo29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Anastasia Potapova defeated Emma Raducanu 7–6, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 21 January 2026, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Raducanu entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.35, whilst Potapova was priced at 3.13, yet the Russian proved the steadier competitor across both sets. The opening set went to a tiebreak, where Potapova secured the crucial points to claim it, before dominating the second set to close out the match convincingly. The result represents a significant scalp for Potapova's Australian Open campaign and raises questions about Raducanu's current form heading deeper into the tournament.