Jannik Sinner defeated Arthur Fils 6–2, 6–4 in the Madrid Masters semi-final on clay on 1 May 2026, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.15 against Fils's 5.28. The Italian's commanding performance saw him progress smoothly through the opening set before closing out the second with minimal resistance, reflecting the significant disparity in expectation. Sinner's dominant display underscores his continued mastery on the Spanish clay and positions him as the clear favourite for the final.