Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazAbrir el análisis completoJannik SinnerAbrir el análisis completo

Tour FinalsDuraFSunday, November 16, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 35%65% Sinner
2.80Recorded odds1.50
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSJannik Sinner
6Set 17
5Set 27

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazJannik Sinner
80%
% de victorias en carrera
78%
78%
% de victorias en dura
79%
86%
Mantiene el saque
88%
29%
Rompe el saque
28%
65%
1er saque dentro
61%
72%
Puntos con 1er saque
76%
41%
Puntos al resto ganados
41%
4.4
Aces / partido
6.5
59%
% de tiebreaks
69%
67%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1946
Nivel
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz72 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Jannik Sinner78 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
21%Abierto
8%Cuerpo
25%T
12%T
10%Cuerpo
24%Abierto
19%Abierto
5%Cuerpo
29%T
10%T
5%Cuerpo
31%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T25%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7–6, 7–5 in the ATP Tour Finals final on a hard court, confirming his status as the tournament favourite with odds of 1.5 against Alcaraz's 2.8. Sinner's composed performance in both sets, particularly his ability to secure the opening tiebreak and maintain pressure in the second, proved decisive in claiming the year-end championship. The Italian's victory underlines his ascendancy in men's tennis heading into 2026, having now established a significant edge in their head-to-head record and cemented his position among the sport's elite.