Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazAbrir el análisis completoReilly OpelkaAbrir el análisis completo

US OpenDuraR128Tuesday, August 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 93%7% Opelka
1.05Recorded odds14.58
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSReilly Opelka
6Set 14
7Set 25
6Set 34

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazReilly Opelka
80%
% de victorias en carrera
50%
78%
% de victorias en dura
50%
86%
Mantiene el saque
90%
29%
Rompe el saque
8%
65%
1er saque dentro
66%
72%
Puntos con 1er saque
77%
41%
Puntos al resto ganados
28%
4.4
Aces / partido
16.4
59%
% de tiebreaks
54%
67%
% de sets decisivos
46%
1946
Nivel
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz84 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Reilly Opelka104 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
30%Abierto
4%Cuerpo
19%T
13%T
2%Cuerpo
32%Abierto
25%Abierto
4%Cuerpo
24%T
12%T
2%Cuerpo
33%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto32%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Reilly Opelka 6–4, 7–5, 6–4 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 26 August 2025, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.05 to Opelka's 14.58. The Spanish world number one controlled the encounter with consistent baseline play, securing breaks at decisive moments in each set to advance without significant resistance. Opelka, the American big server, struggled to impose his usual serving dominance and found few opportunities to pressure Alcaraz's return game or dictate rallies from the baseline. The straightforward victory maintains Alcaraz's formidable form on hard courts and sets up a favourable trajectory through the draw.