Indian Wells MastersDuraSFSaturday, March 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 63%37% Rune
1.56Recorded odds2.63
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Daniil MedvedevVSHolger Rune
5Set 17
4Set 26
Holger Rune won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Daniil MedvedevHolger Rune
69%
% de victorias en carrera
53%
70%
% de victorias en dura
51%
85%
Mantiene el saque
79%
25%
Rompe el saque
17%
63%
1er saque dentro
61%
75%
Puntos con 1er saque
70%
39%
Puntos al resto ganados
35%
8.4
Aces / partido
5.1
52%
% de tiebreaks
54%
56%
% de sets decisivos
50%
1722
Nivel
1578
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Daniil Medvedev60 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Holger Rune70 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
20%Abierto
18%Cuerpo
17%T
20%T
15%Cuerpo
10%Abierto
27%Abierto
13%Cuerpo
11%T
16%T
13%Cuerpo
20%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto20%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto27%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Holger Rune defeated Daniil Medvedev 7–5, 6–4 in the semi-final of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Medvedev, seeded higher and backed at 1.56 odds, entered as the expected victor, but Rune's composed performance across both sets proved decisive. The Danish player broke through in the opening set's crucial moments to secure the first frame, then maintained his momentum in the second to seal a commanding victory. This result marks a notable scalp for Rune at a Masters 1000 event and sends him through to the final, where he will face a fresh opponent after a demanding semi-final. The upset underscores Rune's improving consistency on hard courts and represents a significant stride in his bid for a maiden Masters title.