Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaAbrir el análisis completoLiudmila SamsonovaAbrir el análisis completo

Indian WellsDuraR32Monday, March 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 59%41% Samsonova
1.67Recorded odds2.36
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSLiudmila Samsonova
6Set 12
3Set 26
2Set 36

Liudmila Samsonova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaLiudmila Samsonova
42%
% de victorias en carrera
58%
42%
% de victorias en dura
56%
57%
Mantiene el saque
73%
38%
Rompe el saque
29%
68%
1er saque dentro
57%
59%
Puntos con 1er saque
70%
45%
Puntos al resto ganados
41%
1.5
Aces / partido
4.4
50%
% de tiebreaks
44%
44%
% de sets decisivos
53%
1429
Nivel
1591
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina70 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Liudmila Samsonova85 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
14%Abierto
14%Cuerpo
24%T
24%T
10%Cuerpo
13%Abierto
25%Abierto
18%Cuerpo
9%T
8%T
13%Cuerpo
27%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T24%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Daria Kasatkina 2–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the Indian Wells R32 on hard court on 10 March 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Kasatkina, the odds-on pick at 1.67, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening set, allowing Samsonova to build momentum through the middle and closing stages. Samsonova's improved consistency in the second and third sets proved decisive, as she neutralised Kasatkina's early dominance and secured the straight-sets turnaround. The result marks a significant scalp for Samsonova at the Masters 1000 level and suggests a potential shift in their recent head-to-head dynamic.