Indian Wells MastersDuraR128Wednesday, March 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 45%55% Tsitsipás
2.09Recorded odds1.72
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Denis ShapovalovVSStéfanos Tsitsipás
6Set 12
3Set 26
6Set 34
Denis Shapovalov won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Denis ShapovalovStéfanos Tsitsipás
43%
% de victorias en carrera
55%
47%
% de victorias en dura
53%
82%
Mantiene el saque
86%
17%
Rompe el saque
15%
60%
1er saque dentro
62%
74%
Puntos con 1er saque
76%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
34%
8.0
Aces / partido
7.4
49%
% de tiebreaks
53%
24%
% de sets decisivos
50%
1604
Nivel
1584
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Denis Shapovalov67 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Stéfanos Tsitsipás84 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
4%Abierto
13%Cuerpo
36%T
10%T
1%Cuerpo
34%Abierto
36%Abierto
11%Cuerpo
7%T
23%T
7%Cuerpo
17%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T36%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto36%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Denis Shapovalov defeated Stéfanos Tsitsipás 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Shapovalov, available at 2.09 odds, outplayed the higher-ranked Tsitsipás, who entered as the betting favourite at 1.72. The Canadian took control early with a dominant first set, though Tsitsipás responded in the second to level the match. Shapovalov's composure proved decisive in the decider, securing the break of serve needed to seal progression. The result represents a significant statement from Shapovalov against a top-tier opponent and strengthens his credentials heading into the latter stages of the tournament.