Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaAbrir el análisis completoJasmine PaoliniAbrir el análisis completo

NingboDuraSFSaturday, October 18, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 67%33% Paolini
1.45Recorded odds2.95
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSJasmine Paolini
6Set 13
6Set 22

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaJasmine Paolini
78%
% de victorias en carrera
62%
80%
% de victorias en dura
52%
81%
Mantiene el saque
68%
35%
Rompe el saque
38%
58%
1er saque dentro
68%
73%
Puntos con 1er saque
62%
44%
Puntos al resto ganados
45%
6.4
Aces / partido
1.2
57%
% de tiebreaks
71%
60%
% de sets decisivos
61%
1954
Nivel
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina61 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Jasmine Paolini69 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
23%Abierto
2%Cuerpo
26%T
18%T
5%Cuerpo
26%Abierto
14%Abierto
9%Cuerpo
28%T
16%T
13%Cuerpo
20%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T26%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Jasmine Paolini 6–3, 6–2 in the semi-final of the WTA 250 event in Ningbo on hard court, a result that aligned with pre-match odds favouring the Kazakhstani player. Rybakina's dominant performance saw her control both sets, breaking serve consistently and limiting opportunities for Paolini to establish rhythm. The Italian, despite her recent form on the tour, struggled to match Rybakina's serve and court positioning throughout the encounter. Rybakina's commanding display underscores her continued threat on hard courts and positions her favourably for the final, whilst Paolini will reflect on a semi-final exit in what had been a competitive tournament run.