Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaAbrir el análisis completoJessica PegulaAbrir el análisis completo

Australian OpenDuraSFThursday, January 29, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 66%34% Pegula
1.43Recorded odds2.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 13
7Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
% de victorias en carrera
60%
80%
% de victorias en dura
62%
81%
Mantiene el saque
72%
35%
Rompe el saque
36%
58%
1er saque dentro
62%
73%
Puntos con 1er saque
66%
44%
Puntos al resto ganados
44%
6.4
Aces / partido
2.9
57%
% de tiebreaks
53%
60%
% de sets decisivos
54%
1954
Nivel
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina73 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Jessica Pegula76 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
12%Abierto
12%Cuerpo
26%T
21%T
11%Cuerpo
18%Abierto
18%Abierto
20%Cuerpo
13%T
9%T
30%Cuerpo
9%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T26%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Cuerpo30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.43 to Pegula's 2.77. Rybakina's composed performance across both sets, particularly her tiebreak conversion in the second, secured her passage to the final and maintained her unbeaten record against the American in this tournament. The result extends Rybakina's recent dominance at Melbourne Park and positions her as a genuine contender for the title.