Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaAbrir el análisis completoJessica PegulaAbrir el análisis completo

Indian WellsDuraQFThursday, March 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 62%38% Pegula
1.53Recorded odds2.48
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 11
7Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
% de victorias en carrera
60%
80%
% de victorias en dura
62%
81%
Mantiene el saque
72%
35%
Rompe el saque
36%
58%
1er saque dentro
62%
73%
Puntos con 1er saque
66%
44%
Puntos al resto ganados
44%
6.4
Aces / partido
2.9
57%
% de tiebreaks
53%
60%
% de sets decisivos
54%
1954
Nivel
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina78 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Jessica Pegula57 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
22%Abierto
10%Cuerpo
21%T
9%T
5%Cuerpo
33%Abierto
28%Abierto
14%Cuerpo
11%T
18%T
18%Cuerpo
12%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto33%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–1, 7–6 in the quarterfinals of Indian Wells, a Masters 1000 event on hard court. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.53, Rybakina delivered an expected result against Pegula, who entered at 2.48. The Kazakhstani dominated the opening set with a commanding 6–1 performance, then narrowly edged a competitive second set in a tie-break to secure her place in the semi-finals. The decisive victory reinforces Rybakina's status as a leading contender at the tournament.