Roland GarrosTierra batidaR128Tuesday, May 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Auger-Aliassime 52%48% Arnaldi
1.87Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Félix Auger-AliassimeVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 15
6Set 22
3Set 36
4Set 46
2Set 56
Matteo Arnaldi won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Félix Auger-AliassimeMatteo Arnaldi
48%
% de victorias en carrera
38%
45%
% de victorias en tierra batida
60%
84%
Mantiene el saque
72%
16%
Rompe el saque
19%
63%
1er saque dentro
57%
76%
Puntos con 1er saque
68%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
36%
9.4
Aces / partido
5.3
47%
% de tiebreaks
50%
54%
% de sets decisivos
29%
1629
Nivel
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Félix Auger-Aliassime137 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Matteo Arnaldi172 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
28%Abierto
6%Cuerpo
19%T
20%T
12%Cuerpo
16%Abierto
17%Abierto
9%Cuerpo
26%T
13%T
5%Cuerpo
30%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto28%
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Matteo Arnaldi defeated Félix Auger-Aliassime 5–7, 2–6, 6–3, 6–4, 6–2 in the first round of Roland Garros on clay on 27 May 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Auger-Aliassime, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.87, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening two sets on the slow surface. Arnaldi, despite entering as the underdog at 2.05, mounted a decisive comeback from two sets down, reeling off three consecutive sets to secure the victory. The Italian's clay-court resilience proved decisive as Auger-Aliassime's form deteriorated in the latter stages of the match. The result marks a notable upset and suggests Arnaldi possesses the tactical nous and consistency required for a deep run on the Paris clay.