Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneAbrir el análisis completoNicolas JarryAbrir el análisis completo

WimbledonHierbaR128Monday, June 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 74%26% Jarry
1.30Recorded odds3.76
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSNicolas Jarry
6Set 14
6Set 24
5Set 37
3Set 46
4Set 56

Nicolas Jarry won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneNicolas Jarry
52%
% de victorias en carrera
45%
40%
% de victorias en hierba
75%
79%
Mantiene el saque
85%
17%
Rompe el saque
14%
61%
1er saque dentro
65%
70%
Puntos con 1er saque
74%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
33%
5.1
Aces / partido
8.1
54%
% de tiebreaks
52%
50%
% de sets decisivos
44%
1565
Nivel
1583
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune150 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Nicolas Jarry138 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
19%Abierto
16%Cuerpo
18%T
17%T
9%Cuerpo
21%Abierto
18%Abierto
12%Cuerpo
22%T
13%T
15%Cuerpo
19%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto21%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Nicolas Jarry defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 4–6, 7–5, 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of Wimbledon on grass on 30 June 2025, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher with odds of 1.30, dominated the opening two sets, but Jarry mounted a sustained comeback to claim three consecutive sets and secure victory. The Chilean's resilience from two sets down demonstrated tactical adjustment on the grass surface, where Rune's early dominance proved insufficient to close out the match. This result represents a notable scalp for Jarry at the Championships and signals potential vulnerability in Rune's grass-court game despite his favoured status entering the contest.