Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneAbrir el análisis completoReilly OpelkaAbrir el análisis completo

Miami MastersDuraR64Saturday, March 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 67%33% Opelka
1.46Recorded odds2.91
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSReilly Opelka
6Set 14
3Set 26
6Set 37

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneReilly Opelka
52%
% de victorias en carrera
50%
50%
% de victorias en dura
50%
79%
Mantiene el saque
90%
17%
Rompe el saque
8%
61%
1er saque dentro
66%
70%
Puntos con 1er saque
77%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
28%
5.1
Aces / partido
16.4
54%
% de tiebreaks
54%
50%
% de sets decisivos
46%
1565
Nivel
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune93 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Reilly Opelka93 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
24%Abierto
3%Cuerpo
26%T
25%T
1%Cuerpo
22%Abierto
35%Abierto
1%Cuerpo
16%T
20%T
3%Cuerpo
24%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T26%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 6–3, 7–6 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court on 22 March 2025, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.46, struggled to maintain consistency through three sets, losing the opener before recovering in the second. The match went to a deciding tiebreak, which Opelka claimed to secure a notable upset victory. The American's ability to convert under pressure in the third set proved decisive, particularly in the tiebreak where Rune could not close out the contest despite having opportunities. This result represents a significant scalp for Opelka early in the tournament and raises questions about Rune's form heading into the latter stages of the Miami event.