Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneAbrir el análisis completoRoberto Carballes BaenaAbrir el análisis completo

US OpenDuraR128Monday, August 28, 2023
No-vig market probability
Rune 88%12% Baena
1.11Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSRoberto Carballes Baena
3Set 16
6Set 24
3Set 36
2Set 46

Roberto Carballes Baena won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneRoberto Carballes Baena
54%
% de victorias en carrera
40%
52%
% de victorias en dura
33%
80%
Mantiene el saque
71%
17%
Rompe el saque
18%
61%
1er saque dentro
66%
70%
Puntos con 1er saque
64%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
36%
5.1
Aces / partido
2.2
56%
% de tiebreaks
50%
52%
% de sets decisivos
57%
1600
Nivel
1507
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune108 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Roberto Carballes Baena101 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
33%Abierto
6%Cuerpo
13%T
25%T
4%Cuerpo
19%Abierto
28%Abierto
10%Cuerpo
14%T
9%T
17%Cuerpo
23%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto33%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Holger Rune 6–3, 4–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 28 August 2023, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune entered as the heavy favourite with odds of 1.11, while Carballes Baena was priced at 8.09, reflecting expectations that the Danish player would advance comfortably. However, the Spanish competitor executed a composed performance, taking control after a competitive opening set and consolidating his advantage through the third and fourth sets to secure a commanding victory. The result marked a notable early exit for Rune at Flushing Meadows and demonstrated Carballes Baena's capacity to trouble higher-ranked opponents on the hard court stage.