Rome MastersTierra batidaR64Saturday, May 11, 2024
No-vig market probability
Hurkacz 41%59% Nadal
2.40Recorded odds1.65
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Hubert HurkaczVSRafael Nadal
6Set 11
6Set 23
Hubert Hurkacz won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Hubert HurkaczRafael Nadal
60%
% de victorias en carrera
72%
60%
% de victorias en tierra batida
85%
88%
Mantiene el saque
84%
16%
Rompe el saque
27%
64%
1er saque dentro
69%
77%
Puntos con 1er saque
71%
35%
Puntos al resto ganados
40%
12.1
Aces / partido
3.5
52%
% de tiebreaks
53%
56%
% de sets decisivos
67%
1568
Nivel
1728
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Hubert Hurkacz56 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Rafael Nadal53 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
34%Abierto
0%Cuerpo
18%T
20%T
4%Cuerpo
25%Abierto
9%Abierto
6%Cuerpo
36%T
9%T
15%Cuerpo
25%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto34%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T36%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Hubert Hurkacz defeated Rafael Nadal 6-1 6-3 at the Rome Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event on clay, in the first round on 11 May 2024. The result represented a significant upset, with Nadal entering as the pre-match favourite at 1.65 odds against Hurkacz's 2.4. Nadal's struggles on his traditionally favourable surface were evident as he conceded the opening set in commanding fashion before offering minimal resistance in the second, surrendering the match in straight sets. The Pole's dominant performance on clay—a surface where Nadal has historically thrived—raised questions about the Spaniard's physical condition and form heading into the French Open, now just weeks away.