Indian Wells MastersDuraR16Tuesday, March 10, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sinner 88%12% Fonseca
1.07Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Jannik SinnerVSJoao Fonseca
7Set 16
7Set 26
Jannik Sinner won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Jannik SinnerJoao Fonseca
78%
% de victorias en carrera
60%
79%
% de victorias en dura
61%
88%
Mantiene el saque
84%
28%
Rompe el saque
20%
61%
1er saque dentro
66%
76%
Puntos con 1er saque
71%
41%
Puntos al resto ganados
37%
6.5
Aces / partido
5.4
69%
% de tiebreaks
53%
56%
% de sets decisivos
47%
2147
Nivel
1614
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Jannik Sinner75 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Joao Fonseca81 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
17%Abierto
5%Cuerpo
31%T
19%T
8%Cuerpo
20%Abierto
19%Abierto
5%Cuerpo
30%T
20%T
9%Cuerpo
19%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T31%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · T30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jannik Sinner defeated Joao Fonseca 7–6 7–6 in the Indian Wells Masters R16 on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.07 to Fonseca's 8.09. The Italian top seed secured two tight sets against the Brazilian challenger, each decided by a single break or tiebreak margin. Sinner's composed performance in the crucial moments underscored his consistency at the ATP Masters 1000 level, though Fonseca's competitive showing in both sets suggests the young talent remains a threat on hard courts. The victory advances Sinner deeper into the tournament and maintains his unbeaten record against Fonseca at this stage.
