Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jessica PegulaAbrir el análisis completoMadison KeysAbrir el análisis completo

Australian OpenDuraR16Monday, January 26, 2026
No-vig market probability
Pegula 59%41% Keys
1.59Recorded odds2.33
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jessica PegulaVSMadison Keys
6Set 13
6Set 24

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jessica PegulaMadison Keys
60%
% de victorias en carrera
60%
62%
% de victorias en dura
61%
72%
Mantiene el saque
76%
36%
Rompe el saque
31%
62%
1er saque dentro
64%
66%
Puntos con 1er saque
69%
44%
Puntos al resto ganados
42%
2.9
Aces / partido
5.3
53%
% de tiebreaks
73%
54%
% de sets decisivos
45%
1809
Nivel
1659
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jessica Pegula66 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
Madison Keys59 serves
Dónde coloca su servicio
15%Abierto
20%Cuerpo
17%T
17%T
5%Cuerpo
27%Abierto
24%Abierto
17%Cuerpo
12%T
14%T
10%Cuerpo
24%Abierto
IgualesVentajaIgualesVentaja
Objetivo preferidoVentaja · Abierto27%
Objetivo preferidoIguales · Abierto24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Madison Keys 6-3, 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.59 to Keys's 2.33. Pegula's composed performance saw her secure both sets with relative comfort, breaking down her American opponent's resistance in straight sets to advance deeper into the tournament. The result underscored Pegula's consistency at the Australian Open and her current form on the hard-court circuit. Keys, despite her powerful game, could not generate sufficient momentum to trouble the favourite in either set. Pegula's progression to the quarter-finals strengthens her claim as a genuine contender for the title.